But the flip side of this is the ugly side. The part where every so called "analyst" and pundit, every ex-player and "draft guru" gives their hot take as to who should go number one, what position is worth taking at the top, who might trade up, what college-aged kid is going to carry a franchise and which one is going to fail. Most of you I bet have never thought of it like this. Imagine yourself at 21 years old, you've spent your entire life training for this moment. You're entire last (at least) 5 months have been focused solely, toward this week. Now imagine, in one of your brief periods of time during the day where you aren't busy. You turn on your television, and there's the likes of Bill Polian, who hasn't been involved in an NFL team since you were in 8th grade. Or Mel Kiper, who's football background (or lack thereof) has remained unnoticed for decades. They're saying to the world that they think you aren't good enough to play at that level, or you shouldn't be taken with a high pick because of something they feel to be the truth without ever having spoken with you.
Now, take that exact moment, and multiply it out starting over 100 days prior to the draft. The NFL Draft, has become big business for the likes of Mel Kiper, Todd McShay, Mike Mayock and a dozen other goobers who have basically carved a career, literally almost out of nothing. In fact, I'd be remiss if I didn't actually salute Kiper here, the Godfather of the Draft jargon business. He took something, that most people had relatively no interest in, and in a matter of years, made himself a millionaire by mostly just sounding like he knew what he was talking about. Do you know how many, out of 32 first round selections last year, trades included, that Mel got right? Four. A whopping 13%. You mean to tell me this is the chief "expert" on the NFL Draft? A guy who got 13% of the picks right? That just proves my point. No one, not even Mel "bobcat hairpiece" Kiper, knows what the hell they're talking about when it comes to the NFL Draft. It's all guesswork. Which is fine, I can enjoy that also. In fact, that's the point of this article, to show you my shot in the dark First Round NFL Mock Draft. Just remember, any time you hear anyone, even yourself say that "x-player is a lock to go to x-team at x-pick!!!"... They're probably wrong.
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ROUND 1
PICK TEAM PLAYER, POS., SCHOOL
1 Cleveland Sam Darnold, QB, USC
2 NY Giants Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming
3 NY Jets Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
4 Cleveland (via HOU) Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State
5 Denver Bradley Chubb, EDGE, NC State
6 Indianapolis Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame
7 Tampa Bay Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
8 Chicago Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa
9 San Francisco Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia
10 Oakland Minkah Fitzpatrick, S, Alabama
11 Miami Vita Vea, DT, Washington
12 Buffalo (via CIN) Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
13 Washington Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech
14 Green Bay Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama
15 Arizona Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
16 Baltimore Derwin James, S, Florida State
17 LA Chargers Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
18 Seattle Connor Williams, OT, Texas
19 Dallas Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU
20 Detroit Marcus Davenport, EDGE, UTSA
21 Cincinnati (via BUF) Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
22 Buffalo (via KC) Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M
23 New England (via LAR) Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado
24 Carolina Harold Landry, EDGE, Boston College
25 Tennessee Leighton Vander Esch, LB, Boise State
26 Atlanta Taven Bryan, DT, Florida
27 New Orleans Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
28 Pittsburgh Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama
29 Jacksonville Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA
30 Minnesota Isaiah Wynn, OG, Georgia
31 New England Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State
32 Philadelphia Derrius Guice, RB, LSU
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