Thursday, April 26, 2018

NFL Mock Draft - One and only edition - Philthy In Philadelphia.

There are few things in sports that I love, and hate so much simultaneously, as the NFL Draft. It's an amazing display of randomness for an event that is so crucial to the future (and present) of every single franchise. It's awesome to see these kids, who have worked so hard and come from so many different backgrounds, and some who have overcome so much adversity, to finally reach the big show. To watch them live out their dreams of walking across the stage to meet the commissioner, in front of the entire country and receive the first jersey of their pro-football journey. It's a lot of fun to try and project who your favorite team will select, will they draft based on need? Or will they stay true to their "board"?

But the flip side of this is the ugly side. The part where every so called "analyst" and pundit, every ex-player and "draft guru" gives their hot take as to who should go number one, what position is worth taking at the top, who might trade up, what college-aged kid is going to carry a franchise and which one is going to fail. Most of you I bet have never thought of it like this. Imagine yourself at 21 years old, you've spent your entire life training for this moment. You're entire last (at least) 5 months have been focused solely, toward this week. Now imagine, in one of your brief periods of time during the day where you aren't busy. You turn on your television, and there's the likes of Bill Polian, who hasn't been involved in an NFL team since you were in 8th grade. Or Mel Kiper, who's football background (or lack thereof) has remained unnoticed for decades. They're saying to the world that they think you aren't good enough to play at that level, or you shouldn't be taken with a high pick because of something they feel to be the truth without ever having spoken with you.

Now, take that exact moment, and multiply it out starting over 100 days prior to the draft. The NFL Draft, has become big business for the likes of Mel Kiper, Todd McShay, Mike Mayock and a dozen other goobers who have basically carved a career, literally almost out of nothing. In fact, I'd be remiss if I didn't actually salute Kiper here, the Godfather of the Draft jargon business. He took something, that most people had relatively no interest in, and in a matter of years, made himself a millionaire by mostly just sounding like he knew what he was talking about. Do you know how many, out of 32 first round selections last year, trades included, that Mel got right? Four. A whopping 13%. You mean to tell me this is the chief "expert" on the NFL Draft? A guy who got 13% of the picks right? That just proves my point. No one, not even Mel "bobcat hairpiece" Kiper, knows what the hell they're talking about when it comes to the NFL Draft. It's all guesswork. Which is fine, I can enjoy that also. In fact, that's the point of this article, to show you my shot in the dark First Round NFL Mock Draft. Just remember, any time you hear anyone, even yourself say that "x-player is a lock to go to x-team at x-pick!!!"... They're probably wrong.

Follow Philthy In Philadelphia on Facebook (@PhilthyInPhiladelphia)
and twitter (@PhilthyinPhilly

ROUND 1
PICK     TEAM                            PLAYER, POS., SCHOOL
1    Cleveland                                Sam Darnold, QB, USC
2    NY Giants                               Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming
3    NY Jets                                   Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
4    Cleveland (via HOU)              Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State
5    Denver                                    Bradley Chubb, EDGE, NC State
6    Indianapolis                            Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame
7    Tampa Bay                              Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
8    Chicago                                   Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa
9    San Francisco                          Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia
10   Oakland                                  Minkah Fitzpatrick, S, Alabama
11   Miami                                     Vita Vea, DT, Washington
12   Buffalo (via CIN)                   Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
13   Washington                            Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech
14   Green Bay                              Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama
15   Arizona                                   Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
16   Baltimore                               Derwin James, S, Florida State
17   LA Chargers                           Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
18   Seattle                                    Connor Williams, OT, Texas
19   Dallas                                     Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU
20   Detroit                                    Marcus Davenport, EDGE, UTSA
21   Cincinnati (via BUF)             Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
22   Buffalo (via KC)                    Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M
23   New England (via LAR)        Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado
24   Carolina                                 Harold Landry, EDGE, Boston College
25   Tennessee                               Leighton Vander Esch, LB, Boise State
26   Atlanta                                    Taven Bryan, DT, Florida
27   New Orleans                           Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
28   Pittsburgh                               Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama
29   Jacksonville                            Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA
30   Minnesota                               Isaiah Wynn, OG, Georgia
31   New England                          Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State
32   Philadelphia                            Derrius Guice, RB, LSU

Sunday, March 11, 2018

Bracketology- FINAL BRACKET PROJECTION

Good afternoon all,

We're less than 2 hours away from the NCAA Selection Show on TBS, and with a slight adjustment after Davidson stuck their nose into the mix, we have your full and final, field of 68. I have to admit, this year has been the toughest year yet as far as being able to get a good read on the bubble. It's all going to come down to which column the Selection Committee values most. Is it really the Quadrant 1 and 2 records, or will it be RPI/BPI and SOS. All of these factors, including overall records and strength of victory, will play a role, but things could change drastically depending on which part the committee sees as the most important differentiating factor. So, here we go.

BRACKETOLOGY
3/11, 4:13PM

#1 seeds
Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
Xavier

Last Four In
Alabama
Texas
Kansas State
Western Kentucky

First Four Out
NC State
Arizona State
Marquette
Virginia Tech

Next Four Out
Oklahoma
Utah
Washington
Temple

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Virginia
2. Purdue
3. Tennessee
4. Gonzaga
5. Texas Tech
6. Rhode Island
7. Miami (FL)
8. Providence
9. Middle Tennessee
10. USC
11. Buffalo
12. New Mexico State
13. Murray State
14. Iona
15. Lipscomb
16. NC Central / Texas Southern

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Villanova
2. North Carolina
3. Michigan
4. Clemson
5. Kentucky
6. TCU
7. Arkansas
8. Ohio State
9. Alabama
10. Davidson
11. Syracuse
12. Loyola (IL)
13. UNC-Greensboro
14. Montana
15. Radford
16. LIU Brooklyn / Georgia State

MID-WEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Kansas
2. Duke
3. Michigan State
4. Wichita State
5. Texas A&M
6. Florida
7. West Virginia
8. Creighton
9. Saint Mary's (CA)
10. Butler
11. UCLA / Texas
12. San Diego State
13. Charleston
14. Bucknell
15. UM-Baltimore County
16. Pennsylvania

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Xavier
2. Cincinnati
3. Auburn
4. Arizona
5. Houston
6. Seton Hall
7. Nevada
8. Missouri
9. St.Bonaventure
10. Florida State
11. Kansas State / Western Kentucky
12. South Dakota State
13. Marshall
14. Wright State
15. Stephen F. Austin
16. CSU-Fullerton

Saturday, March 10, 2018

Bracketology #7 - THE DAY BEFORE

Hello folks,

We've got our 2nd to last update to the bracket. Today is a huge day, as the fate of the bubble lives and dies with almost every conference title game, and we have 14 of them today. With only 5 tomorrow, most of the bracket and bubble picture will be pretty clear by the end of the night tonight, but the following is where we stand as of now, Saturday morning.

BRACKETOLOGY
3/8
#1 seeds       
Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
Xavier

Last Four In
NC State
Alabama
Kansas State
Arizona State

First Four Out
Marquette
Virginia Tech
Washington
Oklahoma

Next Four Out
Utah
Temple
LSU
Notre Dame

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Virginia
2. Auburn
3. Michigan
4. Wichita State
5. Texas Tech
6. Seton Hall
7. Miami (FL)
8. Providence
9. Missouri
10. Middle Tennessee
11. Alabama / NC State
12. Buffalo
13. Louisiana-Lafayette
14. Bucknell
15. Wright State
16. Hampton / LIU-Brooklyn

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Villanova
2. North Carolina
3. Michigan State
4. TCU
5. Florida
6. Kentucky
7. West Virginia
8. St. Bonaventure
9. Florida State
10. UCLA
11. Texas
12. Loyola (IL)
13. Charleston
14. New Mexico
15. Radford
16. Southeastern Louisiana / Grambling

MID-WEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Kansas
2. Purdue
3. Cincinnati
4. Clemson
5. Gonzaga
6. Texas A&M
7. Arkansas
8. Creighton
9. USC
10. Syracuse
11. Western Kentucky
12. South Dakota State
13. Vermont
14. Montana
15. Lipscomb
16. UC-Santa Barbara

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Xavier
2. Duke
3. Tennessee
4. Arizona
5. Houston
6. Rhode Island
7. Nevada
8. Ohio State
9. Saint Mary's (CA)
10. Butler
11. Arizona State / Kansas State
12. Murray State
13. New Mexico State
14. UNC-Greensboro
15. Iona
16. Pennsylvania

Thursday, March 8, 2018

Bracketology #6 - Thursday of Championship Week

We're now t-minus 3 days until Selection Sunday, and 13 of the 32 automatic bids have already been decided. We've had a buzzer-beater in the Big South, #1 seeds knocked off in 3 smaller tournaments, leading to some Cinderella stories emerging. However, the overwhelming majority of those teams will not make it to the second weekend. Those teams are likely still playing, or will have their fate decided this weekend. This one, and the last couple posts will be short simply to keep up with the ever evolving bubble, so here we go

BRACKETOLOGY
3/8
#1 seeds       
Virginia
Villanova
Xavier
Kansas

Last Four In
Washington
Arizona State
Oklahoma
Virginia Tech

First Four Out
LSU
Utah
Alabama
Boise State

Next Four Out
Kansas State
Temple
Louisville
Baylor

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Virginia
2. Auburn
3. Michigan State
4. Wichita State
5. Texas Tech
6. Texas A&M
7. St. Bonaventure
8. Missouri
9. Butler
10. Middle Tennessee
11. NC State
12. Marquette
13. South Dakota St
14. Bucknell
15. Wright State
16. Grambling State / Hampton

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Villanova
2. Cincinnati
3. Michigan
4. Arizona
5. Kentucky
6. Rhode Island
7. Miami (FL)
8. West Virginia
9. Florida State
10. Saint Mary's
11. Syracuse
12. Loyola (IL)
13. Charleston
14. UC-Davis
15. Montana
16. Nicholls State / LIU-Brooklyn

MID-WEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Xavier
2. Purdue
3. North Carolina
4. Clemson
5. TCU
6. Florida
7. Arkansas
8. Creighton
9. USC
10. Arizona State / Virginia Tech
11. Buffalo
12. New Mexico State
13. Murray State
14. UNC-Greensboro
15. Lipscomb
16. Radford

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Kansas
2. Duke
3. Tennessee
4. Gonzaga
5. Houston
6. Seton Hall
7. Nevada
8. Ohio State
9. Providence
10. Texas
11. Washington / Oklahoma
12. UCLA
13. Vermont
14. Louisiana
15. Iona
16. Pennsylvania

Sunday, March 4, 2018

Bracketology #5, Champ Week 1/2

It's the second most exciting week of the pre-tournament season folks, Championship Week part I. By the end of the day today we'll have 5 automatic bids decided, and the true aura of Champ Week begins. In today's Bracketology, we have a special guest preview the Big East tournament, I give ESPN a piece of my mind, and I hand out some hardware.


Big East Tournament Preview (by Dustin Graiff)
When: March 7-10
Where: Madison Square Garden

The Big East tournament starts this week and shapes up to be the most competitive since the new Big East was formed. The conference is stacked offensively with 6 teams in the top 50 in points per game and 5 teams in the top 50 in field goal percentage (Division 1 basketball). Much of the conference is led by experienced players that have played in this tournament multiple times.

Two teams have led the regular season standings from the beginning. The conference is led by regular season champion Xavier. The team, led by senior and Naismith finalist Trevon Bluiett, is setup not only for a Big East tournament run, but a Final Four run as well. With a very strong supporting cast of J.P. Macura and Naji Marshall, this team has the depth and star power to go on a run. Chris Mack will either need to hope Villanova doesn’t make it to Saturday or find a way to beat Jay Wright’s team as they have lost both match-ups by 16 and 24. Next up is last year’s regular season and tournament champion as well as the favorite to win the tournament, Villanova Wildcats. With an eight man rotation and six players playing the majority of the minutes, depth has been an issue for the team dropping three of their last seven. They often live by the three but one off game (i.e. St. John’s, Providence), can lead to their exit. They need to find balance getting to the rim and shooting the three to withstand an off night from behind the arc.

Now that the tier one teams have been covered, let’s talk about the rest of the conference. With how competitive this tournament has been in the past, I believe there are 7 teams that can get hot and take home the trophy. Georgetown is still too young to compete, while St. John’s has been banged up all year, and Depaul just simply does not have the talent. Each of the remaining teams have leaders that can get hot and lead their respective teams to a Big East championship: Creighton (Marcus Foster), Seton Hall (Khadeen Carrington), Butler (Kelan Martin), and Marquette (Markus Howard). Providence does not have a star player they can hang their hat on, but instead three seniors that have played a lot of basketball together and proven they can beat the best.

Prediction: Give me the field
Although Xavier and Villanova have run away with the regular season, I think one of the star players in tier two will take over the tournament. The Big East is known for this sort of tournament: Kemba Walker in 2011, Peyton Siva in 2012 (no asterisk needed), Isaiah Whitehead in 2016. My prediction would be Markus Howard with Marquette or Kelan Martin with Butler. I believe we will see at least one Big East team in the Final Four as well. 

ESPN is scum
     In a day and age where the "media", as we know it, is so sensationalized and headline driven, it's in incredibly poor taste for ESPN analysts to infer that athletes should "boycott the NCAA Tournament". Jay Williams and Jalen Rose, who both did participate in the NCAA, when given the chance, have called for players in the wake of the Yahoo! report about the FBI's investigation into corruption and illegal tampering by agents, to boycott the NCAA Tournament, in hope, I guess, to bring change to the NCAA's rules on athlete's receiving compensation. Rose even took steps toward comparing the need for change in the NCAA to other current social issues and movements. "In the climate of so many things that are changing. So many discussions that have now come to the forefront that have been closeted for so very long.. I wish NCAA players would exercise that power by boycotting the NCAA Tournament", said Rose, in his best MLK impersonation. I joke, but it's no worse a joke than either of these guys' stance. Give me a break ESPN, you would never allow your talking heads to spew this nonsense if you held the TV rights to the tournament. But since Turner Sports and CBS do, they allow their own to continue to stir the pot on this controversy. Yes, there needs to be change in the way the NCAA polices student athlete's ability to make money while playing. But as of now, it doesn't appear that any player, or program, is in danger of receiving any real punishment. So again, what is the issue? Telling kids to boycott an event that they've waited their whole life, and prepared for a long time to play in, when you yourself, Jalen Rose, Jay Williams, didn't have the "courage" to do so, is incredibly irresponsible.

Regular Season Awards
     Roll out the red carpet, and drum-roll please.

Naismith Player of the Year- Jalen Brunson, Villanova
     There are other deserving candidates, but Brunson has been the best player in the country all season long

Coach of the Year - Mark Few, Gonzaga
     To lose as much as he lost to graduation and the NBA, and still be a legit Sweet 16 caliber team, is nothing short of incredible

Freshman of the Year - Deandre Ayton, Arizona
     He's had an interested couple of weeks, but Ayton is the best rookie in the country, and likely, the #1 pick in the NBA Draft in June

Six Man of the Year - Duncan Robinson, Michigan
     Sort of embodies Michigan's whole attitude and approach as a team. Hard working kid who openly accepted his bench role, and has Michigan rolling into the tourney.

Defensive Player of the Year - Isaiah Wilkins, Virginia
     Simple. The best defensive player on the best defensive team in the country.

Most Improved Player of the Year - Keita Bates-Diop, Ohio State
     The kid has taken a major step forward after suffering a severe leg injury last year, and while he won't win it here, he has already won the Big Ten player of the year.

Bob Cousy Award (top PG) - Jalen Brunson, Villanova
     Man the finalist list for this award was really, really, really strong. Honorable mentions include Joel Berry, Javon Carter, Trae Young, Devonte Graham, Jordan McLaughlin, just to name a few

Jerry West Award (top SG) - Marcus Foster, Creighton
     The Junior has averaged 20 pts, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, shooting 42% from 3.

Julius Erving Award (top SF) - Miles Bridges, Michigan State
     Another really deep pool of candidates, but the best player on the Big Ten regular season champs earns it.

Karl Malone Award (top PF) - Marvin Bagley III, Duke
     He's missed some time here at the end of the season with a knee injury, but he's the best player on the floor almost every night he's out there.

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Award (top C) - Jock Landale, Saint Mary's (CA)
     The Gaels senior has had his best year ever, averaging a double-double and leading Saint Mary's to likely a top 6 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Big Ten Player of the Year - Miles Bridges, Michigan State

ACC Player of the Year - Marvin Bagley, Duke

Big East Player of the Year - Jalen Brunson, Villanova

SEC Player of the Year - Grant Williams, Tennessee

Big XII Player of the Year - Devonte Graham, Kansas

Pac-12 Player of the Year - DeAndre Ayton, Arizona

Atlantic 10 Player of the Year - Jaylen Adams, St.Bonaventure

American Athletic Player of the Year - Rob Gray, Houston

1st Team All-Americans
Jalen Brunson, Villanova
Marcus Foster, Creighton
Miles Bridges, Michigan State
Marvin Bagley III, Duke
Jock Landale, Saint Mary's (CA)

2nd Team All-Americans
Devonte Graham, Kansas
E.C Matthews, Rhode Island
Mikal Bridges, Villanova
Wendell Carter Jr, Duke
DeAndre Ayton, Arizona

Honorable Mentions
Allonzo Trier, Arizona
Grant Williams, Tennessee
Trae Young, Oklahoma
Keita Bates-Diop, Ohio State
Mortiz Wagner, Michigan
Yante Maten, Georgia
Luke Maye, North Carolina
Carsen Edwards, Purdue
Isaiah Wilkins, Virginia
Tyus Battle, Syracuse
Chimeze Metu, USC
Bryce Brown, Auburn
Kevin Knox, Kentucky


BRACKETOLOGY
3/4
#1 seeds       
Virginia
Villanova
Xavier
Kansas

Last Four In
USC
NC State
Marquette
Louisville

First Four Out
UCLA
Temple
Syracuse
Utah

Next Four Out
Baylor
Notre Dame
Penn State
LSU

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Virginia
2. Cincinnati
3. Arizona
4. Michigan
5. Rhode Island
6. Seton Hall
7. Arkansas
8. Missouri
9. Providence
10. Florida State
11. Buffalo
12. Vermont
13. Louisiana-Lafayette
14. Charleston
15. UC-Davis
16. Radford / Bethune-Cookman

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Villanova
2. Michigan State
3. North Carolina
4. Kentucky
5. Nevada
6. Saint Mary's
7. Houston
8. Texas Tech
9. Florida
10. Virginia Tech
11. Washington
12. New Mexico State
13. Loyola (IL)
14. Montana
15. Northern Kentucky
16. Nicholls State / Grambling State

MID-WEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Xavier
2. Auburn
3. Purdue
4. Wichita State
5. Clemson
6. TCU
7. Miami (FL)
8. St. Bonaventure
9. West Virginia
10. Oklahoma
11. USC / NC State
12. Alabama
13. South Dakota St
14. UNC-Greensboro
15. Iona
16. Pennsylvania

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Kansas
2. Duke
3. Tennessee
4. Gonzaga
5. Texas A&M
6. Ohio State
7. Creighton
8. Middle Tennessee
9. Butler
10. Arizona State
11. Texas
12. Louisville / Marquette
13. Murray State
14. Bucknell
15. Wagner
16. Lipscomb

Sunday, February 25, 2018

Bracketology #4, RIVALRY WEEK (sorta)

Rivalry Week Lite
    I originally thought ESPN screwed the pooch with this year's "Rivalry Week" by putting it the 2nd week of February, but a further look into the schedule shows that maybe they picked the right week. Perhaps it's been jumbled by the Big Ten sliding their tournament up a week (See last week's post), so we don't get Indiana-Purdue or Ohio State- Michigan to feed into it. But this final week of the regular season, usually reserved for bitter rivalries to add another chapter, seems quite watered down. Of course there's the granddaddy of them all, Duke-UNC in Cameron, but the remaining 6 days and 21+ hours are definitely lacking. Nevertheless, I'm going to give you the schedule of the best match-ups of "Rivalry Week", as well as ranking what I feel are the top rivalries in College basketball (excluding Duke-UNC because we all know it's the best).
    Monday; if you don't mind the fact that both of these squads are terrible, there's sure to be some tension between Delaware State and Maryland-Eastern Shore. The two HBCU's and MEAC opponents, separated by about 70 miles, have combined for just 9 wins all season, and this will be their first and only meeting this season. In the all-time rivalry, Delaware State holds the advantage 56-46, since they first played back in 1958.
    Tuesday; best rivalry of this night goes to Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan. These two also don't offer a ton in terms of solid history (just 8 tournament appearances combined), but both are very competitive in the MAC this season and this one is actually expected to be a very competitive ballgame. A player to keep an eye on is EMU's James Thompson, who I believe could end up being the MAC player of the year, averaging 15.4 pts, 11.9 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game.These two schools are separated by 105 miles, and Western Michigan leads the all-time series 60-48.
    Wednesday; things begin to heat up with some recognizable faces. #20 Nevada @ UNLV is the leader in the clubhouse on this night, although it doesn't start until 11pm EST... Nevada has been one of the premier teams in the country this season, spending almost the entire year in the top 25, and are expected to likely be no lower than a 6-seed in the NCAA Tournament. They boast the biggest lineup in the Mountain West, headlined by Caleb Martin & Jordan Caroline, two candidates for conference player of the year. UNLV (19-9), is also in contention for a tournament birth, although it's likely they would need to win the Mountain West in order to achieve that goal. This would be a big step forward for the Rebels, to be able to complete a sweep of Nevada (W on 2/7 in Reno 86-78) on their home floor in front of what's sure to be a raucous crowd at the Thomas & Mack Center Wednesday night. UNLV leads the all time series 59-25.
     Thursday; the two biggest "rivalry games" on this night, are two more MEAC games, NC Central v. NC A&T and Bethune-Cookman v. Florida A&M, and I just won't subject you all to a report on more sub-par basketball. If you want to watch them, they'll be there, that's up to you.
     Friday; Penn-Yale and UT-Arlington- Texas State highlight this night... Penn is the current leader in the Ivy, and that's about all the analysis this needs as well.
     Saturday; Villanova- Georgetown (if you can still call this a rivalry), Georgia-Tennessee, Kentucky-Florida, Arkansas-Missouri, Utah-Colorado, UCLA-USC, and of course North Carolina-Duke all get it on Saturday. Literally too many to watch, but if I had to pick one other than the big one, it would be either Kentucky-Florida or UCLA-USC. Kentucky & Florida each have struggled in the second half of the season, and as bitter as that rivalry usually is, I wouldn't be surprised to see some fireworks. As far as UCLA-USC is concerned, it's likely that the loser won't make the NCAA Tournament, so needless to say, it's a big deal.

Top College Basketball Rivalries (my list)
1. Duke-North Carolina
2. Kentucky-Louisville
3. Purdue-Indiana
4. Xavier-Cincinnati
5. Penn-Princeton
now, proceed to roast me..

Rock Chalk Dominance
     It's truly incredible what Kansas has been able to accomplish. With their win at Texas Tech last night, the Jayhawks became the first program to win at least a share of 14 consecutive regular season conference championships. KU has won at least a split of the Big XII regular season title, ever year, since the 2004-2005 season, with at least 10 of them outright. The record they break, used to belong to UCLA, which won 13 consecutive Pacific-8 & Pacific-10 (now PAC-12) from 1967-1979. To give some perspective on how amazing this feat has been, the second longest streak among major conferences (excluding Gonzaga's run of 11 WCC titles from 2001-2011) is the one Villanova currently has of 4. The next longest streak in that same time frame is a tie between UCLA and North Carolina, each with 3. With as competitive as the game has become, and specifically the Big XII recently, it cannot be understated how impressive this streak is for Kansas.

FBI Bombshell
     Originally when I began writing this week's article, I was going to taunt the FBI for teasing this investigation that was supposed to implicate "nearly half of the top 16" teams in the country for illegal activities. Now that Yahoo! has leaked most of the information, it's worth discussing. There are over 30 players named in the documents released. Additionally, Arizona head coach Sean Miller is reportedly caught on federal wiretap, discussing the idea of paying 5-star then recruit, Deandre Ayton, $100,000 to secure his commitment to the Wildcats. ESPN is reporting as of last night that Miller has been relieved of his duties as head coach. Some of the bigger names on the list have been rule eligible and cleared to play, among them Ayton, Michigan State's Miles Bridges, Duke's Wendell Carter and Alabama's Collin Sexton.
     But I guess my bigger overall question is this. The actual FBI report has yet to come out, and at this point I don't really know what we're waiting on. But if the remaining info lacks things such as point shaving and gambling issues, what exactly are we hoping to accomplish here? To think that these things (loans, money and meals from shoe companies and agents) haven't always happened and will continue to happen under the current structure, is both naive and shortsighted. The truth is, there is no one-size-fits-all solution to corruption in amateur athletics. And no, I do not advocate paying student-athletes in a salary type format. That poses so many other issues that are very real, and are no better than what is currently going on. But I do acknowledge this thing needs change. Why is it that I can walk into almost every major university bookstore, and buy a piece of memorabilia or clothing with a name and/or likeness of a student-athlete on it, but not a dime of that purchase goes to the student-athlete? The school wouldn't have any base to sell on if it were not for the hard work of that particular kid, or group of kids. Since "Phi Slamma Jamma", through the "Fab Five", and even now onto the sale of jerseys and pictures, schools have been making money, not just on tickets and TV revenue, but merchandise for decades. If we don't want kids making deals with the underbelly of amateur athletics (i.e Andy Miller, the agent named in the report), some of those dollars need to trickle down to the athletes.
     I will add this to the end. Since I believe reporting that kids might have let an agent pay for dinner for them and their parents, approximately $70, and could jeopardize their eligibility is borderline stupid, let's address something that I feel has gone grossly under reported and analyzed. Why is no one talking about the fact that Mark Emmert likely knew all about the Michigan State sexual assault scandal, and did absolutely nothing about it? According to The Athletic, in a report that came out almost a month ago, NCAVA founder Kathy Redmond, alerted "NCAA President Mark Emmert specifically in November of 2010.. to 37 reports involving Michigan State athletes sexually assaulting women." None of this came to light until the conviction of former US Gymnastics coach and Michigan State employee Larry Nassar, of sexual assault of multiple former athletes. Emmert has since responded with a eye-roll of a statement, stating that the letter was "not addressed to him directly" and the idea that he's done absolutely nothing in response "couldn't be farther from the truth." If it is the truth, Emmert needs to lose his job, if not go to jail. This is story that needs to be talked about round the clock, and I'd hate to think that the media that covers the sport is that afraid of the NCAA Board of Governors reaction. If you want to clean up the sport, start at the top.


BRACKETOLOGY
2/25
#1 seeds       
Virginia
Villanova
Xavier
Duke

Last Four In
Boise State
Utah
NC State
Washington

First Four Out
Temple
Louisville
Marquette
Kansas State

Next Four Out
Texas
Penn State
Maryland
Western Kentucky

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Virginia
2. Purdue
3. Rhode Island
4. Tennessee
5. TCU
6. Houston
7. Arizona State
8. Butler
9. Texas A&M
10. Florida State
11. Virginia Tech
12. Loyola (IL)
13. Rider
14. East Tennessee State
15. Wagner
16. UC-Irvine / North Carolina A&T

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Villanova
2. Michigan State
3. Cincinnati
4. Clemson
5. West Virginia
6. Seton Hall
7. Miami (FL)
8. Alabama
9. Buffalo
10. USC
11. Washington / NC State
12. Middle Tennessee
13. Bucknell
14. South Dakota State
15. Montana
16. Nicholls State / Grambling State

MID-WEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Xavier
2. Kansas
3. North Carolina
4. Gonzaga
5. Arizona
6. Ohio State
7. Nevada
8. Arkansas
9. Syracuse
10. Missouri
11. St. Bonaventure
12. Vermont
13. New Mexico State
14. Louisiana
15. Wright State
16. Pennsylvania

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Duke
2. Auburn
3. Texas Tech
4. Wichita State
5. Saint Mary's (CA)
6. Kentucky
7. Michigan
8. Creighton
9. Oklahoma
10. Providence
11. UCLA
12. Boise State / Utah
13. Charleston
14. Murray State
15. UNC-Asheville
16. Florida Gulf Coast

Thursday, February 15, 2018

Bracketology #3, who does the Big Ten think they are?

Hello folks, apologies we missed a week. Things around here got a little crazy, what with our football fellas winning the Super Bowl and all; and yes, I re-calibrated the bracket last week, only to have anarchy break loose in the top 10, rendering all I did useless before I could post it. But we're back, and will be able to stay on schedule going forward all the way to Selection Sunday. A loose schedule of the updates that are to come:
2/15 Today
2/25 End of Atlantic Sun, B1G, Big South, Horizon, MAAC, Missouri Valley, Northeast, Ohio Valley, Patriot League, Southern, Summit League, WCC regular season schedules. 
3/4 12 Automatic bids decided, all other conferences regular season schedules end.
3/8 Quarterfinals of ACC, Pac-12, preliminary rounds of other major tournaments
3/10 12 more automatic bids decided, remaining 6 conferences in semi-finals
3/11 Selection Sunday (morning of)

First, a few thoughts and stories for you...

Big Ten Lunacy
     B1G, what are you doing? The Big Ten is in the midst of one of the worst years the conference has ever seen. It is the worst conference in terms of tournament worthy RPI (6 teams in top 68), of any power 5 league (and tied with the American). The saving grace for the conference, is the fact that they have 3 squads in the top 16, all of which will likely be 3-seeds or better. So even in a really down year, they've given themselves 3 real shots at the Final Four, right? Hard to say, considering the scheduling process for their conference tournament. They've cut themselves off at the knees with the hopes of, what exactly I'm not sure. They've scheduled their conference tournament a week earlier than usual, in order to have access to Madison Square Garden, which hosts the Big East tournament annually the weekend of Selection Sunday. The Big East wasn't ever going to move, so if the B1G wanted the Garden, they had to. But why? Why force your way into MSG, inconvenience every school in your conference by jamming 18 games into a window that is now a week shorter, only to have the teams worthy of the NCAA Tournament have to wait no less than 10 days to begin the round of 64. There hasn't ever been a power conference to schedule their tournament a week early, I don't think ever. I couldn't find one at least. So there's no data to show how this affects power conference teams at all. Just know, teams that typically face a 10-day layoff rarely find success in the postseason. There's plenty of data from smaller mid-major conferences who typically hold their tournaments a week early, and they always seem to struggle to win even a round. But those conferences struggle anyway. It just seems that the Big Ten, in an attempt to steal some of the NY spotlight from the Big East, is in danger of harming the conference's post season chances as a whole.

Doug Gottlieb
     I knew the story as it had been told about Doug Gottlieb's dismissal from Notre Dame many years ago, but only from an outsider's perspective. Through the eyes of other journalists and reporters, and often not in a mainstream media format, as the whole situation had been cast into the shadows for many reasons, current relevance among them. I have long respected Gottlieb's opinions on the sport, while being able to separate my thoughts on his character. So getting to read his point of view on his situation, hearing his side of the story, was refreshing. I applaud Doug for his ability to put into words what was going through his head. It's something that, as he says in his article, has completely altered the course of his life. He understands he will forever hear about it from fans and trolls alike; maybe it's just, maybe it's not, but it is reality. I've never agreed with all of his opinions or takes on college basketball, and I likely never will. But he is someone with tremendous insight into the game, and for what it is worth, I have gained a new level of respect for him because of his openness about a dark, very public time of his past. Kudos to you Doug.

https://www.theathletic.com/236536/2018/02/12/gottlieb-the-mistakes-i-made-and-the-price-i-paid/

We're aboard the Xavier train
     Ok X, you've sold me. In past years I've dismissed Xavier, as just another team with a lot of heart and less talent, that could surprise some teams in the tournament but were never good enough to reach the first weekend in April. Not this year. I'm sorry to the Musketeers in advance, as I am often a gigantic mush when it comes to bold statements like this, but this Xavier team appears to be for real. There are a number of signs that point to Xavier being a team poised for a serious run into March/April. I'm going to give you five. First,... Trevon Bluiett (and their other seniors)
    Bluiett has emerged as one of the best players in the country this season. He's been one of the best in the Big East for a couple of years now, but this kid can do it all. He's averaging 19.6 points, 5.7 boards and just short of 3 assists per game. But his big improvement this season has come from the 3-point line. He's up to almost 45% from 3 this season, and he's even up from 75% to 83% behind the line. While Bluiett is the biggest difference maker, their roster is loaded with other seniors who are playing huge roles. J.P Macura is one of the best all around players in the league, especially on the defensive end. Kerem Kanter and Sean O'Mara are probably the best front-court duo in the league when healthy. Their starting lineup has just two of these guys, giving their bench an immense amount of experience.
     Second, their benefiting from the rigor of a long conference schedule full of real competition.
Xavier joined the Big East after the great schism in 2013. Prior to that, they'd spent most of their time in the past quarter century in the Atlantic 10. The A-10 is a good conference, but rarely can you say it prepares teams for a long, Championship level run. The Big East does, and this is the first class with serious talent that can say they've played four years in one of the best conferences in the country.
    Third, they have ability to adapt.
Unlike past Xavier teams, this one is diverse with their athleticism. They have the ability to run smaller lineups to compete with Nova, Cincinnati, & Virginia, but also can run lineups with legitimate size, and scoring size, to compete with bigger teams like Purdue, Texas Tech, & Duke. Whatever they need to do to compete, this team has the ability to do it.  
    Fourth, they've got real NCAA Tournament experience.
This senior class is 6-3 in the last three NCAA Tournaments, including two Sweet 16 trips, and a loss in the Elite 8 last year to eventual National runner-ups, Gonzaga. Also last year, they were able to upset a 6-seed, a 3-seed and the 2-seed Arizona, coached by former head coach Sean Miler (heavy favorite) en route to reaching Gonzaga. There isn't going to be an opponent, or a stage that intimidates them.
    Fifth, and finally, Chris Mack has quietly been building up to this.
When Chris Mack took over in 2009, he began the transformation of this program that you are currently seeing. Joining the Big East helped, but Xavier under Mack, has taken the shape of a real program. A possible destination for top tier talent, showing they can compete consistently in the Big East and nationally. They had opportunities under Miller, and Thad Matta, but none where they were as prepared as they are now. All of the ingredients are there for the Musketeers to make their first Final Four ever. They have the most NCAA Tournament wins (27) of any school that has never made a Final Four. Chris Mack's direction has lead them to this. This is the team he was waiting for. It's time to follow through.

BRACKETOLOGY
2/15
#1 seeds       
Virginia
Xavier
Auburn
Cincinnati

Last Four In
Washington
Texas
USC
Baylor

First Four Out
Temple
Virginia Tech
NC State
UCF

Next Four Out
Kansas State
Western Kentucky
Nebraska
UCLA

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Virginia
2. Texas Tech
3. Michigan State
4. Tennessee
5. Wichita State
6. Creighton
7. Seton Hall
8. Alabama
9. Arizona State
10. Texas / Washington (play-in)
11. Boise State
12. New Mexico State
13. Loyola (IL)
14. Bucknell
15. UNC-Asheville
16. Nicholls State / Grambling State (play-in)

MID-WEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Xavier
2. Duke
3. Kansas
4. Ohio State
5. Missouri
6. Gonzaga
7. Nevada
8. Miami (FL)
9. Providence
10. Arkansas
11. Butler
12. Vermont
13. Charleston
14. East Tennessee State
15. Montana
16. Wagner / Savannah State

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Auburn
2. Clemson
3. Rhode Island
4. Saint Mary's (CA)
5. Arizona
6. West Virginia
7. TCU
8. Louisville
9. Houston
10. Buffalo
11. Florida
12. Florida State
13. Louisiana-Lafayette
14. South Dakota State
15. UC- Santa Barbara
16. Florida Gulf Coast

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Cincinnati
2. Villanova
3. Purdue
4. North Carolina
5. Texas A&M
6. Kentucky
7. Oklahoma
8. Middle Tennessee
9. Michigan
10. Syracuse
11. USC / Baylor (play-in)
12. St.Bonaventure
13. Rider
14. Murray State
15. Northern Kentucky
16. Pennsylvania

Thursday, January 25, 2018

Bracketology #2 - Sleepwalking Through January

Out of all of the weird stuff that's happened in sports this week, one that didn't get nearly enough attention, or credit for how bizarre it was, is John Calipari calling out Coach K indirectly, for recruiting practices (his comments here, READ: https://www.sbnation.com/college-basketball/2018/1/23/16920854/kentucky-duke-recruiting-basketball-john-calipari-zion-williamson ). I am not going to be one of those people who chastises Cal for blasphemy, or for committing some sort of mortal sin by attempting to defame the omnipotent coach. What I will say, is that in a weird way, I applaud Cal for speaking his mind. Is the way he did it admirable? Is the content of his overall statement correct? That can all certainly be debated. I personally feel, that as long as what you are promising a kid when you recruit him is all true, you should be able to confidently rest your head on the pillow at night.

But essentially what Calipari has done, is bring the attention of the one-and-done scoffers back on him. Cal gets credit as the original one-and-done recruiter, after the NBA instituted their age restriction in 2006. His one-and-done guys include Derrick Rose, Demarcus Cousins, John Wall and Anthony Davis, just to name a few, and has been widely criticized for his attitude regarding these kinds of recruits. He stresses looking out for what's best for the individual first, instead of selling the program and what it would mean to be a part of it. With this, he mostly dominated the market for well over half a decade. Naturally, other blue-blood programs around the country began to dip into that market. 12 years after it began, Calipari is no longer the king of the one-and-done recruit. Coach K is. He's already won as many national titles with a team full of them as Cal has (one each), and with a legit national title contender again this year, full of them, has secured the top 3 recruits in next year's class, all expected to enter the NBA Draft after one year at Duke. Losing out on Zion Williamson seems to be what sent Cal over the edge. He's tired of losing out, he's tired of coming up short, but mostly, he's furious that the plan he first set forward, has been hijacked by a coach, and a program, with more to offer. His comments bear just that, desperation. He's trying to restart a fire, and if it enhances one of college basketball's oldest, and most high profile rivalries, so be it.

Purdue Floating the B1G
     There shouldn't be any debate, this is one of the worst years the Big Ten has seen in a long time. For the conference's sake, thankfully Ohio State has emerged as a team that has potential to compete in March. But the bottom half of this conference flat out stinks. I have five B1G teams in my current bracket (below), but after that, there isn't a single B1G team even close to the bubble right now. But one team that isn't getting enough attention, maybe because the conference as a whole is so poor, is Purdue. Most figured, including myself, that losing Caleb Swanigan would mean taking a step back from last season when the Boilermakers made a run to the Sweet 16. But the returning players have gotten better. With Vincent and Carsen Edwards (not related) leading the way offensively, and senior Isaac Haas as one of the best defensive players in the B1G, the way Purdue has kept it together is something to keep in mind heading into the tournament. They're big, they're tough, and they've got enough experience to not get overwhelmed in a big spot. I think they are going to win the conference, all-be-it a weak one, and if they do that, they might just keep a 1 seed.

Rising Mid-Majors
     I think it's really worth noting how many perceived "mid-major" conference teams are relevant this year. The gap between conferences like the Atlantic 10, Mountain West and Missouri Valley (prior to this year) and the "Power 7" has been narrowing for a decade, and while two of the conferences above are having poor years, there are a number of schools scattered throughout the bottom 25 conferences that are legit contenders. For example, we are in a position where we could have multiple teams from Conference USA, the Colonial and the Mountain West, which has not happened since 2011, which went down as one of the weirdest year's in the history of college basketball. You see a pattern yet? In fact, out of the top 75 RPI teams, 22 of them are from mid-major conferences. Conference USA has more teams in the RPI top 100 than the A-10 does. We are definitely setting ourselves up for one of the toughest and deepest brackets in a long time.

BRACKETOLOGY
1/15                            1/25
#1 seeds                   #1 seeds         
Villanova                 Villanova
Virginia                   Duke
Duke                       Virginia
Oklahoma               Purdue

Last 4 In                  Last 4 In         
UCLA                     Texas A&M
St.Bonaventure       Alabama
Florida St.               Maryland
Boise St.                 Boise St.

First 4 Out               First 4 Out      
Notre Dame            SMU
Maryland                Notre Dame
South Carolina        UCLA
Washington             St.Bonaventure

Next 4 Out              Next 4 Out      
Utah                        Colorado
Georgia                   South Carolina
Houston                  Georgia
Central Florida        Utah

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Villanova
2. Clemson
3. Michigan State
4. Arizona
5. Rhode Island
6. Texas Tech
7. Nevada
8. Michigan
9. Arkansas
10. Western Kentucky
11. Missouri
12. Texas A&M
13. Wright State
14. South Dakota State
15. Montana
16. Nicholls State / Arkansas- Pine Bluff (play-in)

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Duke
2. Auburn
3. Kansas
4. Cincinnati
5. Kentucky
6. Creighton
7. Miami (FL)
8. Butler
9. Buffalo
10. Marquette
11. Washington
12. Vermont
13. Old Dominion
14. Canisius
15. Radford
16. Pennsylvania / Bethune-Cookman (play-in)

MID-WEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Virginia
2. Xavier
3. Tennessee
4. Ohio State
5. TCU
6. Louisville
7. Arizona State
8. Middle Tennessee
9. Providence
10. Florida State
11. Texas
12. Boise State / Maryland (play-in)
13. Loyola (IL)
14. East Tennessee State
15. Hawaii
16. Florida Gulf Coast

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Purdue
2. North Carolina
3. Oklahoma
4. Seton Hall
5. Florida
6. Saint Mary's (CA)
7. Wichita State
8. West Virginia
9. USC
10. New Mexico State
11. Alabama / Syracuse (play-in)
12. Belmont
13. William & Mary
14. Louisiana-Lafayette
15. Bucknell
16. Wagner

Monday, January 15, 2018

Bracketology - Road To March

Out of all of my sports related projects and subjects, what may be my favorite is the NCAA Tournament. I started my bracket projection project 2 seasons ago, and last year I got 66/68 teams correct. Additional sounding of my own horn will tell you that I also got 50/68 on, or within one line of their actual seed line. I placed 22/68 right (seed), 12/68 exactly right (seed and region), all four #1 seeds in order, and 13/16 top 4 seeds correct. Yes, I am getting pretty good at this. But this year is another challenge, and all of last year's success means nothing if I botch this year. And as those of you who follow know, this year in college basketball has already been bananas. So with all of this being said, this is my first full bracket projection of the year. I will try to update this at least 4-5 more times prior to selection Sunday. Each time I will also add a few smaller pieces and points I'd like to make about the season. Hope you all enjoy!

Naismith Watch
     The wide-ranging opinion is that Trae Young is running away with the Naismith Award, and that attention is well deserved. But I can't help but take a stand for Jalen Brunson. The junior guard is enjoying careerhighs statistically across the board, and is absolutely the leader on the floor for the nation's best team, and has taken his play to a new level this season knowing it's his team. There are others deserving of mention as well, Marvin Bagley, Angel Delgado, and hell I'll even throw some love to Landry Shamet, but the complete player that Brunson has become is what stands out for me.

Final Four Turnover
     It's rare to have multiple teams return to the Final Four in back-to-back years. What's even more rare is to have 3 teams that made the Final Four the previous year, not even make it to the NCAA Tournament the next. Now some people are going to call this opinion crazy, but my opinion is that last phenomenon is likely. South Carolina and Oregon were expected to slip, and they both lie outside the bubble in my projection. But Gonzaga is the mystery. The AP has them 13th this week. I find that outrageous. The Zags are 16-3 this season, with the 57th best RPI and a strength of schedule that's 194th.. Last year on their way to the Final Four, the Zags finished 6th in RPI and 32nd in strength of schedule. Their 3 losses are to #1 Villanova, Creighton and San Diego State. Those aren't total resume killers, but assuming they can't roll through the WCC like last year, they'll acquire some losses that could be problematic, given the other numbers involved. Another point to be noted here, the AP poll rarely has anything to do with Tournament seeding or involvement. Meaning just because the AP loves you, doesn't necessarily translate to the committee loving you. Gonzaga needs to put a strong run together, because for them, nothing is certain.

BRACKETOLOGY
#1 seeds
1. Villanova
2. Virginia
3. Duke
4. Oklahoma

Last Four In
UCLA
St. Bonaventure
Florida State
Boise State

First Four Out
Notre Dame
Maryland
South Carolina
Washington

Next Four Out
Utah
Georgia
Houston
Central Florida

EAST REGION (Boston, MA)
1. Villanova
2. Purdue
3. Auburn
4. Clemson
5. Tennessee
6. Butler
7. Rhode Island
8. Nevada
9. Michigan
10. Syracuse
11. Western Kentucky
12. Colorado
13. Wright State
14. Cal State - Fullerton
15. Robert Morris
16. North Carolina A&T / Jackson State (play-in)

MIDWEST REGION (Omaha, NE)
1. Virginia
2. Kansas
3. Seton Hall
4. Michigan State
5. Arizona State
6. Ohio State
7. Texas A&M
8. Marquette
9. Missouri
10. Cincinnati
11. Florida State / Boise State (play-in)
12. St.Bonaventure
13. East Tennessee State
14. Murray State
15. Pennsylvania
16. Boston University / Nicholls State (play-in)

SOUTH REGION (Atlanta, GA)
1. Duke
2. Xavier
3. Kentucky
4. Arizona
5. Texas Tech
6. Louisville
7. Buffalo
8. Alabama
9. Creighton
10. Middle Tennessee
11. UCLA / Texas (play-in)
12. New Mexico State
13. William & Mary
14. Louisiana- Lafayette
15. Drake
16. Montana

WEST REGION (Los Angeles, CA)
1. Oklahoma 
2. Wichita State
3. North Carolina
4. West Virginia
5. Arkansas
6. TCU
7. Florida
8. Saint Mary's (CA)
9. Miami (FL)
10. USC
11. Providence
12. South Dakota State
13. Vermont
14. Iona 
15. Radford
16. Florida Gulf Coast

Tuesday, January 9, 2018

Eliminated Teams: One Quick Thing


Often at this time of the year, fans and media of teams that are out or eliminated from the NFL playoffs spent a lot of time analyzing and over obsessing about their teams needs or wants going forward. Whether it be coaches, front office personnel or players, so much time is dedicated to speculation on situations where there are still a ton of moving parts to be decided, such as players retiring, kids deciding whether or not to stay in school or enter the draft, and free agency situations. Knowing that, I'm gonna take a stab at, what to me, appears to be each eliminated team's biggest issue going forward will be. The proverbial elephant in the room; so to speak, is something that every organization will deal with going forward. I'll go in order of the first round of the draft.



1. Cleveland Browns - Culture change

As anyone who follows the sport knows, there isn't just one main issue plaguing the Browns. They have arguably the worst drafting track record of any organization, they recycle coaches, and most recently, fed-up fans threw a parade to "celebrate" their 0-16 season. Many viewed it as being in poor taste, but I get what the fans real motive was. To draw attention to the fact that their beloved football team is being held hostage by a delusional owner and baseball bean counters running their football operations. They're tired. They're annoyed. They had every right to embarrass the team's management like that.

As far as their biggest issue going forward, before they even begin to address the QB situation, they need to address the overall stench of the organization. So many players took offense to the 0-16 parade, they seem to look past the reason it happened in the first place. Just the 2nd win-less 16 game season should get everyone's attention. There's no quick fix, maybe one of these elite QB's in the draft will help the culture shift. But a change in the day-to-day mindset is first on the agenda.

2. New York Giants - QB of the future

The Giants long-term plan had a wrench thrown in it by Gary Myers article this week saying Belichick would have interest in returning to the Meadowlands if his situation in Foxboro falls apart. That being said, I don't know that NY can afford to wait out the coaching search in hopes of the hoodie deciding to come aboard. They, like a number of teams, need a total rebuild. There are only about 8 spots (13 when fully healthy) of the 22 starters where they have legitimate NFL players. Their roster just flat out isn't good enough.

And as loved as Eli is by so many, it's time to move along and get a young franchise QB in there, and with the #2 pick, they have a shot to do just that. As long as you have the QB, you can put together the rest of a roster pretty quickly. It doesn't have to be a 5-year rebuild for New York, provided they get their guy at QB, and have a coach who can bring the best out in him.

3. Indianapolis Colts - get Luck healthy

I'm not sure I can think of an organization as frustrating as the Colts. They've had 2 legitimate hall-of-fame level QB's on their roster for 18 of the last 20 seasons. Yet here we are, staring down the barrel of having to rebuild and re-tool once again. They seem to make a habit of allowing the overall talent level of the roster around the QB falter and fail. Peyton Manning's playoff failures are well documented, but if we're honest, most of those losses were with teams that just straight up weren't as good as the teams they lost to.

That statement rang true for Andrew Luck as well, up until these past two seasons. Sure, he's known to turn the ball over way more than Colts fans would like, but when he's healthy, he's no doubt a top 8 QB in the league. And as is the case for NY ahead of them, if you have the QB, the rest falls in a lot easier. The Colts have failed to execute that part of things very well, but without Luck they have nothing. Their only focus (other than finding a coach the players will listen to) should be getting Andrew Luck healthy and ready to go for OTA's. If they can, their bounce-back won't be far away either.



4. Houston Texans (traded to CLE) - Get a real coach.

This may come off as a 5-alarm hot take to some, but Bill O'Brien sucks. I'm sorry if that is harsh, but I just cannot see how people value him as quality NFL head coach. Maybe it's the leader-of-men factor? From the outside it does seem like his players respect and play hard for him, and that matters. But when you look at the x & o side of things, his scheme, and teaching, do not measure up. The big talking point about O'Brien coming to Houston was his great work with QB's, specifically Tom Brady, and that he could relay that on to other QB's he would deal with in Houston. The problem with that, as is the case with many "QB whisperers" (Arians, McDaniels, Jackson, McAdoo), is that Brady (and all of the other guys) was already good. How can you credit a coach with making a hall-of-fame level QB (Roethlisberger, Brady, Rodgers) better than they already are? Where is the differentiating line between the player's brilliance, and good coaching?

O'Brien's resume in Houston, albeit with lesser QB talent until this season, is three 9-win campaigns in a mostly sub-par division, and a 4-win injury filled clunker this season. But where me saying he sucks comes into play, is his attitude toward the media and public in general. He had a post-game press conference after a terrible loss to Indy, in which he was questioned about holding a timeout for a 4th down play in the red-zone. "That's what you're saving the timeout for, so I really don't want to hear any bullshit about clock management. I really don't want to hear it this week."... Hey coach, if you use the timeout on a previous down to save-time and get your team together, maybe you don't have to worry about Tom Savage taking a sack on fourth down in the red zone at all? Just a thought... And being that you're the head coach, you're going to catch all the noise when you make a bone-headed decision with your timeouts and clock, and you lose. This guy doesn't want the blame or attention when things are going badly, and frankly to me that disqualifies him from getting any of the glory when they do well, or when they luck into Deshaun Watson and he sets the league on fire. Kick O'Brien to the curb.

5. Denver Broncos - the same issue they've had since Peyton left

A dash of young talent all throughout their roster can't hurt, but John Elway's failure to stabilize the position he played so well over his time in Mile High is raging fire he can't seem to put out. As we've talked about with other teams, the biggest issue for this team is QB play. Osweiler, Semien & Lynch, combined all together, aren't starting caliber in the NFL. While the rest of the roster is definitely showing signs of age, getting the QB of the future has to be priority #1 this off-season. If he can't solve that puzzle soon, Elway may be the on the hotseat himself.

6. New York Jets - playmakers & depth.

Since I've been talking for almost a decade about the Jets needing to find a franchise QB, and they don't seem to have any interest in accommodating this idea, I'm going to try a different route this time. Keep the mediocre, game-managing QBs, and build such a monster around him to find success. This was the method that Rex Ryan tried, in getting the Jets to the AFC title game in back-to-back years, but lesser quality drafts, personality conflicts, and Mark Sanchez's imminent regression caused this run to fail. If the 6th pick can net them Barkley (not likely) or another stud playmaker elsewhere, that would be somewhat of a success. Mostly, I'm just tired of the same old storyline with this team.


7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - stabilizing the defense

I for one, am still a believer in Jameis Winston. Yes he regressed this past season, but I'm willing to cast that blame on the line in front of him and scheme of the offense itself. Koetter was praised for his ability to reach Jameis and make him into a high caliber QB, but a lot of that praise went out the window this past season and many are starting to question his ability to sustain success as a head coach. But since he and Winston will both definitely be back on the sidelines next year, I'm gonna jump on a limb and say they figure out the offense.

For Tampa, their defense was a big issue all year. Maybe it was the injuries, maybe it was their matchups, maybe it was inserting known cancer Chris Baker into their front four. But forcing your young QB to play from behind most weeks is not a recipe for success. Tampa needs to find a pass-rush like they need air. Spend the money, find the right fit, and give your team a chance.

8. Chicago Bears - giving Trubisky a chance

Chicago invested a TON in Trubisky, moving up one spot in last year's draft to make sure they got their guy. In 12 starts, Trubisky mostly looked like a rookie, but he did not look totally lost. Considering the tools he was given to work with, not looking lost is in fact an accomplishment. Their three leading wide receivers, were all roster bubble casualties for other teams. Even the best QB's would suffer a bit under those circumstances. When you add in that his most experienced NFL player, tight end Zach Miller, suffered a season, possibly career ending, and somewhat life-threatening leg injury against New Orleans, Trubisky's weapons did not help to aid his progress. The Bears believe that Trubisky can make the same jump that Goff & Wentz made from years 1 to 2. They've got the coach they feel can elevate him, now they have to surround him with weapons and a line to enable him to do his thing.

9. San Francisco 49ers - Jimmy franchise

I'll tip my hat to these guys. I was in the camp that said John Lynch was going to be a disaster as a GM, and that Kyle Shanahan was the product of Matt Ryan's brilliance. Turns out I was flat wrong on both. I think this duo are tremendous together. They've taken San Fran for a ride in year one, mostly in positive ways. The biggest move, was the trade deadline shot heard round the league. The Niners pulled the trigger on a deal to acquire, what looks like their QB of the future, Jimmy Garoppolo from New England. But Garoppolo is a free agent in March. The first, and only priority for San Fran, needs to be suring up the centerpiece. They've jumped to the head of the line as far as rebuilding teams, don't let the main reason for that get away.



10. Oakland Raiders - Grudenmania

Before the Raiders announced they'd pried Jon Gruden out of the Monday Night Football booth, their biggest issue going forward was going to be rebuilding the defense. But now that Chuckie is back into the equation, the biggest issue for Oakland is going to be managing the circus and hype that surrounds the famous coach. Internally, it will probably not be an issue. The adjustment period will move pretty quickly the first full-team practice, Gruden will be yelling at people, guys will be working hard to earn jobs and the natural order of an NFL offseason will take place. It's going to be among the fans, most of whom are already angry with the organization for initiating the move to Las Vegas, and how they can try to heal the divide among fans who loved the hire, and the fraction that sees it for what it is; A publicity stunt. The Raiders may feel that Gruden still has a magic touch that can get their roster to the next level, but if he didn't come with the swagger and aura that Gruden comes with, he wouldn't have been their guy. Oakland is looking to distract the fans from the real issues surrounding the franchise. Another unjust, greedy relocation.

11. Miami Dolphins - washing the Cutler off of them

Look Miami, you did what you had to do. We get it, you thought you had a playoff caliber roster, your QB went down early, you took a shot. It just didn't work out. Now that it looks like Tannehill is going to be back and ready to go, it's time to go get some lighter fluid, some matches and a pressure washer, and burn and soak the 2017 until there's nothing left. Jay Cutler is a cancer. No, I don't want to hear any half-hearted support statements by teammates with everything to lose. The guy has shown, time and again, he's just not interested in elevating the guys around him or in the overall success of the team he's on. He forever stained his legacy by quitting on his team in the NFC title game in 2010, and that can't be repaired. Now this year with Miami, instead of trying to keep it together for the long-term sake of the franchise, his addition caused rifts throughout the team, causing coaches and executives to question the effort and attitude of many players, including pro-bowl RB Jay Ajayi, who's disagreements with management ultimately resulted in his departure. I believe, that if Cutler had never been brought in there, the Ajayi situation would not have come to a head, and he'd still be a Dolphin. Now that Miami is past that, it's time to get back on track with the culture that saw Adam Gase praised as one of the game's best young coaches in year one. The talent is there, it's time to regain the focus.

12. Cincinnati Bengals - Marvin Lewis

There's nothing more need be said. His coaching, his culture, his ability to elevate talent, his ability to get guys to play hard. All of it. It's all a failure. As long as he is in charge, he will continue to be the biggest issue plaguing this organization. His mere presence at this point, infuriates fans, draws apathy from sponsors, and doesn't allow any semi-intelligent football person to take them seriously. What's the definition of insanity? Fire this clown.             



13. Washington Redskins - Kirk Cousins' contract

It's taken me quite some time, but I'm finally fully in the camp that feels D.C can't afford to lose Cousins. As a rival fan, I hope they do. As an impartial evaluator, they absolutely cannot afford to let him get out of their grasp. Is Cousins a top 5 QB in the league? No. Top 10? Ehh, maybe? Is he of enough quality where you cannot reasonably think you'll replace his production for less money? Absolutely. I look at Cousins much the same way I look at Philip Rivers. He's going to throw for a ton of yards, he's going to make head-scratching turnovers, but at the end of the day, he's going to give you a chance to win, every week. By no means do I feel he is capable of putting a team on his back for an entire year, but if Joe Flacco can put a team on his back for 4 playoff games, Cousins can absolutely do the same. Washington's priority other than retaining Cousins, has to be building a roster around him capable of getting into the post-season consistently. But the more time they spend wondering if the grass is greener in other QB fields, the more likely the grass beneath their feet starts to turn grey.

14. Green Bay Packers - Answers to injuries

Every team in the NFL deals with injuries. Some years are worse than others, but it's rare that a team doesn't suffer at least one notable injury throughout the season. But truthfully, I've never seen a team get bit by the injury bug as badly as Green Bay has over the last number of years. This year, it was the best player in football, Aaron Rodgers, who went down and missed 8 games. This exposed the rest of Green Bay's roster, and showed that it really was not very good. Some national pundits went as far as to say GB without Rodgers, are basically the Browns. I won't go that far, as they were decimated with injuries once again. While any team that loses their QB for a long period of time is in trouble, the Packers have missed out on a number of opportunities even with Rodgers (2016 v. ATL, 2015 v. ARZ), because his line, his receivers, their linebackers, their secondary, spend more time on IR than they do on the field. At some point, the other key contributors have to stay healthy, and it might be worth looking into why exactly these guys always seem to go down. Players change, but the injuries seem to stay the same for the Packers.

15. Arizona Cardinals - Offensive line

No team went through quite the transition that the Cardinals went through in the last 4 months. They opened the year as a popular pick to make the postseason yet again, and possibly challenge Seattle for the NFC West title once again. They ended the year, with retirements of both their head coach and quarterback, and no imminent replacements for either. They, like many teams ahead of them, are going to need to start things over with a new young QB. They are more fortunate than most, to already have a solid defense and playmakers in place. The biggest issue facing Arizona beyond the obvious holes, is putting a capable and formidable offensive line in front of the new young QB. This team hit a speed bump with injuries and underachieving players this year, but if they get the transition right, they will not be down for long.



16. Baltimore Ravens - ballin' on a budget

Ever since they inked Flacco to that massive contract, the main issue plaguing Baltimore has been trying to retain stars and put quality talent elsewhere on the roster. Whatever you think of their roster makeup this year, they should've been in the playoffs, and to allow such an absurd play to end your season as they did (Bengals score on 4th & 12 from mid-field in final minute) is absolutely unacceptable. But for Baltimore, it allows them to take a much needed hard look in the mirror. They were in that spot to begin with, because they just aren't good enough. Mostly on offense. Their line is average, their receivers are that at best, and their best running back is a former 5th round pick of Seattle's who they plucked off waivers. Combine questionable talent with an abysmal play-caller in long time retread Marty Mornhinweg (insert eye-roll emoji), that's a recipe for disappointment. The Ravens should prioritize elevating the bottom half of the roster.

17. Los Angeles Chargers - the move from good to great

For the Chargers, the first half of their season was spent adjusting. Part of that adjusting included taking ridicule, over their stadium, over the roster, over the move from San Diego itself. But the Chargers picked themselves off the mat, and finished 9-3 in their last 12, losing a tiebreaker to miss out on the postseason. The job Anthony Lynn did here should not go unnoticed. The top half of the roster has young talent, good talent. While Philip Rivers is most certainly closer to the end than the beginning, he is still capable of leading a quality team in the playoffs. The biggest issue for LA moving forward, might just be depth. Their starters are as good as anyone in their division, but when a guy goes down, that spot has become a hole. This has been an issue for the Bolts since the days of Brees & LT. Adding NFL level depth should be priority #1.

18. Seattle Seahawks - father time

I hate to say this, due to my love for Coach Carroll, but it might just be time to scrap this thing and start over. Russell Wilson is still plenty young enough to build around him for another run, and while you'd hate to waste valuable time of his career, the path they've gone on the last 3 years is not a quality one. Out of Wilson's 6 seasons, he's had an NFL quality line in front of him, for maybe 2 of them? No matter how good an athlete he is, that is not sustainable. It's time to dump the older, expensive guys on the defense, no matter how badly it hurts. Those guys are legends in that town, and for good reason. The fans will not like it, there will be a ton of backlash initially, but you simply cannot waste Russell Wilson's career, trying to plug band-aids on holes as they continue to open year after year. And the longer you go, the bigger and more frequent those holes become. Tear it down around Wilson, and build it back up around him. It's time



19. Dallas Cowboys - identity crisis

This one is always difficult, the idea of trying to pin down the Cowboys' "biggest" issue. They just have so many.

Is it the owner, who after buying his way into the league and building a dynasty, has decided to meddle in the football ops for the last 20 years, to little or no success?

Is it the coach, who by most accounts couldn't motivate a starving man to eat, and mostly serves as a cheerleader?

Is it the number of immature, selfish grown men who wear the uniform? Every off-season seems to serve better as a combination of episodes of Cops and the Young & the Restless

Honestly, there's probably some truth to all three. So what the Cowboys need most, is to identify themselves. Who are they? There is such little discipline throughout the organization, one could almost blur the lines of whether their goal is to win football games, or provide as the rallying entertainment of uneducated sports fans everywhere (i.e "We Dem Boyz, #DezCaughtIt, etc.). Until they figure out their own identity, and get some semblance of consistency in the management of the team, their circus will continue.

20. Detroit Lions - get a 100-yard rusher for God's sake

This one is fairly simple. The Lions have done pretty much everything right personnel & football wise, except for maybe the most important thing. Gain the ability to run the god damned football. I'm not even a Lions fan, and I find it infuriating that the last time they had a guy run for 100-yards in a ballgame, I was a senior in college (70 games). Yes, 70 football games, without a single guy breaking a long run sprinkled in among a dozen or so poor carries to squeak his way to triple digits. The overall tone of this feat, bears the feeling of stubbornness. Why? Doesn't that embarrass you Detroit? Because the deeper side to that failure, is the overall failure to run the ball. They've been outran by their opponents for no less than 389 yards, each of the last 3 seasons. They've got a good QB, solid receiving options, a solid defense. But the one thing that sets the tone to win games, a running game, they've totally ignored. Detroit, please, figure it out.

21. Buffalo Bills - get a real QB

Okay, this one seems fairly simple also. First, congrats #BillsMafia, on finally breaking the streak. Other than the Peterman game disaster, your coach has shown he's got the ability to elevate his talent, and there is certainly enough of that on the roster to scare the AFC going forward, except at one spot in particular. The QB. I know the Jags defense is great, I know road playoff games are tough. There is no excuse for Tyrod Taylor's performance on Sunday, other than he's just plain not good enough to win playoff games. He's not, I'm sorry, I honestly like the guy. I think he's very athletic, very intelligent, but his whole game put together, just simply is not enough for this franchise to move forward with, thinking they will be able to advance in the postseason in years to come. They've acquired a number of resources from KC in the Mahomes trade, there has to be some consideration in packaging some of those assets to try and either move up in the draft to get the guy, or make a move for an established vet (free agency also an option possibly). The Bills are a QB away from being a legit AFC contender moving forward, it has to be addressed.

22. Kansas City Chiefs - overcoming Andy

This one hurts a little as well. Andy Reid is the first coach I remember that I actually had some respect for.  A lot of respect for. Yes, he drove me bananas, along with every other Eagles fan, over the course of 14 seasons. For the Eagles, he is our finest hours, and he is our greatest failures. But one of the things that has brought him a ton of success, seems to be the thing that continues to leave him outside the ultimate prize. His unwavering ability to do things his way, gives consistency and solidarity to his teams, which is great to get through a long regular season. But with that, comes an inability to adjust on the fly, something so crucial for post-season success. His failure to get the ball to Kareem Hunt in the 2nd half last Saturday, is just the latest in a large number of post-season blunders Andy Reid has endured in his 19 seasons under the headset. This one might just be one too many. His team is talented, his fan-base is loyal. There just doesn't seem a way to get over the hump.

23. Los Angeles Rams - continuing growth

Listen, for those of you who got to witness my feeding frenzy on twitter with a certain national writer, I will clarify once again. Sean McVay is an excellent young coach, and his turn around with the Rams this year should not be considered anything less than magnificent. He got caught with his pants around his ankles in the playoffs, and you know what, that's okay. It's happened to the best. Hell, it's happened to the coach mentioned above for almost 2 decades and he's still looked at by some as one of the game's best. But now comes the greater challenge. The ability to continue the upward trajectory. Do not let this franchise, and most importantly this phenomenal young QB, regress. Add talent where you can, cut dead weight where applies, but most importantly, continue to adapt, because the rest of the league certainly will adapt to you.



24. Carolina Panthers - aging stars / closing window

When I started writing this, Mike Shula still had a job. Now, the Panthers are looking for a new offensive coordinator. This post was going to be about the aging roster, who without a major shake-up, may be looking at a rapidly closing window on the longest run of success (4 playoff berths in 5 seasons) in franchise history. They seem to understand this. That I feel, is the reason for the move at coordinator. It's time to get Cam Newton someone he's comfortable with, and who can tailor the offense to his strengths, before the sun really begins to set on his accomplished career. He is still an elite QB in this league, and with talent like Olsen & McCaffery around him, this team should be doing more than they have the last couple of years.